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Ozymandias | What does the Fed Bailout of AIG mean to current shareholders? |
The Fed just gave AIG an 85 billion$ line of credit to stem the panic caused by the downgrading of their stock.
What does this mean to current shareholders of AIG stock? |
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Patrick G
 |
This is actually good news for shareholders -- in the long run. It means that AIG will be allowed to sell assets in an orderly fashion and not the firesale way in which Lehman is selling. It does mean that shareholders will own less of the company. If you look at the June 2008 annual report, you can see that assets minus liabilities leaves a shareholder balance of almost 67.5 billion. If you divide this by the 2.6 billion shares outstanding you get a value of $25.90. Since the government will supposedly get 80% of that, this means shareholders will get $5.22. But I think that is the worse case scenario. A case can be made that over time the price will be higher. We can see from the last four quarterly reports that AIG has annual operating cash flow of $36 billion. The govt bridge loan will allow AIG to continue to operate, repay the govt and bring down the govt's ownership share of the company over time. If you own the stock, be patient. Or, sell the stock and take a tax loss this year and then buy it back at least 30 days later. But, be prepared to be patient. This company is not going out of business. |
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don1862
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It may help them temporarily if the company can avoid bankruptcy. Of course if AIG is ever able to return to profitability and repay the loan, then current shareholders will do very well. I personally think there should be a provision in the loan agreement forbidding AIG to pay any dividends to stockholders until they have returned to full profitability and have repaid the loan completely. |
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daisies
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While there will be a huge dilusion of shares in the immediate future, the shares will be much more worth than they would if the company went bankrupt. Soon, as the company divests/ spins off non-core businesses, becomes a leaner and meaner competitor, the share price will surely go up. Within two years, AIG will be back to the glory days, is my hope.
Hope this helps. |
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ribeiroworld
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It means that they get to live to see another day.
If the company is successful in divesting bad business and doing a turnaround, the stockholders can see their stocks grow in price. Good PR and a top notch management team is the key now. You will see a lot of heads rolling publicly. That is a good sign.
Hard to tell what will happen, but if you want to look at another company that has been bailed out and still lives, look at United Airlines - not the same industry, but they still live.... |
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Jon
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As an owner (tax payer) of AIG will they send us all proxy ballots, and can I vote on company affairs. |
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