muncie birder
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just beginning is what I believe. Japan under similar circumstances had one that ran for 10 years. In fact I do not think it is over yet. |
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djwmcginty
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No. The way the prices of goods and consumer products have been going, the recession would be half-way through at the most. This is because the american people have less disposable income, which means that they can't buy as many things from large companies. This makes the company lose sales, which in turn causes less salary for the people, and the cycle goes on again. I think that even though the fed has cut rates for like , the 4th time this year, the effects of this aren't coming immediately. In fact, it would take around a year for the whole system to go into effect and for the american people to have their money back. This isn't the worst financial catastrophe in the history of the U.S., but it sure isn't the best. The good news is that some people's jobs are not affected by this because the people make enough money to spend on unnecessary things. Due to the fact that the majority of the people in the U.S. are above poverty, this makes the situation better than if the people were poor. I'd say that the main reason that this whole recession thing started is because there is so much money being spent by the government and the US people that the whole "system's" gone into debt. Fortunately, this isn't going to put us into a depression, but I think it'll last till June if we're lucky. I hope this helped |
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kckid2
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While I clearly have an opinion, I don't think anyones opinion is anything more than a guess at this point. |
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Tony Tone
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No because for one we never actualy had a recession yet i beileve that we still will have one. The only thing that would change my opinion on the matter would be the more demand on housing. Their is too much availabiltiy of housing but less demand therefore baloon morgages sky rocket and the markey goes bananas. The fed cuts will only last so long. Monetary plicy can only go so far. Uhmmm.... yeah i mean dont be decived by the ongoing markets. I'm not sating dont invest but be careful. |
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Ron Berue
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No according to the technical indicators.
As of Thursday, the 50-day Moving Average was STILL below the 200-day Moving Average.
What do I mean?
50 TRADING days represents about 3 months of the current calendar period
200 TRADING days represents about 1 year of the current calendar period
One of the indicators or clues of a Bull Market [or Bear market] is the position of the 50-Day Moving Average in relation to the 200-Day Moving Average.
When the 50-Day MA is above the 200-day MA, the market is considered to be Bullish.
When the 50-Day MA is below the 200-day MA, the market is considered to be Bearish.
Thanks for asking your Q! I enjoyed answering it!
VTY,
Ron Berue
Yes, that is my real last name! |
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Califrich
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Bear markets typically last from a year to 18 months, and this one is only three or four months old, so it is likely to run at least another nine months and possibly for more than another year. You should try to make money from the short side until the bear market is over. |
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unknown
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Nope
oil is still trading at around 105 a barrel and the Fed just cut rates again. The dollar is still unstable and may decline further. Gold is still at historic highs. Other countries are now looking into de-pegging from the dollar which would Be devastating to our economy. Inflation could still skyrocket. The US credit crisis could be just be starting - noone knows how bad it is yet.
When Oil starts to drop again and the dollar starts to gain in strength the economy will stabilize.
Probably after the elections depending on who gets in office. If taxes are increased all bets are off. |
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financegal27
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Its actually only just begun. The market and economy really turned for the worst in December of 2007, and has continued to struggle. Plus a recession is defined as 2 consecutive quarters of negative GDP. That actually hasn't happened yet, the 4th quarter of 2007, showed very slow almost flat GDP, +0.4. Economists believe that the first quarter will be negative, although that can't be confirmed until the quarter ends (3/31/2008). I think we have at least 2 more quarters of slowdown before we'll begin to see the economy approve. The dollar stabalizing and the stability of CPI are good signs, but it usually takes sometime before we see the turn around. As someone already pointed the uncertainty of the presidential election doesn't help matters. |
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nLytnd
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No. The markets are still moving fast. Fast = scared. Scared = recession.
There will be a small reprieve through the summer that will fool many into thinking this will be a shallow recession. Only to be follwed by deeper market losses that will prove to be deeper and longer than any recession since the end of WWII.
Hate to say it, but this ones gonna hurt. |
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bushes
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ther is a tug of war going on between all the multibillion $ corps. which are aligned, for the benefits of their stockholders from each political division.
It's all about the stockholders |
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Fl. Guy
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history tells us that we will continue to see uncertinty until after the prsidental election |
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bob shark
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I think we are due for a bear market rally and then a sell off again
now is not the time to invest. |
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