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Nope. Your answer is naive. You need to understand that most institutional buyers and individual people have stop orders in place to ensure they DON'T lose, or to ensure that they DON'T lose below a certain percent. Every time a stop order is engaged at its trigger price, the market makes a decision to buy at that price or go lower. In a heated period , successive stop orders are triggered, accelerating the drop in price, but preserving profits/preventing substantial loss for the investors.
Actually, what is DUMB, is people who allow their investments to drop below a 7 or 8% net loss, because 92% of the time over the last 50 years, when a stock drops more than that, it's not likely to return to peak in the near future, if at all. Example: Enron. Smart investors got out when the stock started to stutter at the top, and they sold. Dumb investors were buying those stocks at the top when the smartest were selling. The Dumbest investors watched their investments go down, down, down, believing they would come back (your advice) and watched their savings go to a 100% loss. That makes no sense at all - but people continue to do it, and to advise it, rather than think. A true trader or investor has to have a goal on the upside, and a stop out on the bottom side, or they'll never profit/recover.
Example: You lose 2500 of your 10,000 investment. That's a 25% loss, but it will require a 33% gain to restore you to break even. That won't work in any strategy - you'll be broke. But if you learn to pick good stocks, sell at goal, and limit your losses to never more than 7 or 8% when you pick a bad one - or the market surprises you, you can make a future for yourself. Remember, you can always buy it back for less. The goal is to buy low and sell high, not ride it down into the ground.
The biggest mistake uninformed people make is assuming that "the other side of the trade", or "market" is dumb. Once you think that way, you can be assured there is one dumb party, and that party is you. The other side of the trade is going to take your loss as a profit, and it will happen quick. Get educated |