 Investment with average of 10% return ? |
So, I want to start investing utilizing stocks and bonds. Is it realistic to think that I will get a 10% yearly return? Specially with the current market?
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Chris | Is now the time to buy U.S. Dollars? |
As you surely know, the U.S. Dollar has recently significantly depreciated in value. Would this be the time to buy U.S. Dollars or do you believe the value thereof will continue to fall/stagnate? Moreover, is the depreciation of this "global currency" a sign that, after more than half a century of economic superiority, the U.S. economy is beginning to leave center stage, or is this simply an economic interlude? I'd be really interested in hearing your thoughts. Thank you. |
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ezelion
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An interesting question... It all depends on what you're buying US$s with. The US economy is structurally weak, riddled with bad debt and there is a lot of pain ahead. As an investment, in the short and medium term, it’s a bad one. In the long-term, it’ll ride out the pain.
The two factors to keep in mind are the duration of your investment, and the arbitrage opportunity, or the lack of one.
The first is about your comfort level, the second I’ll expand on below.
Global currencies seem strong because the dollar US$ is weak, not necessarily because they are strong. I would not recommend that one buys US$ with Euros, because the EU is fundamentally in a growth phase and if anything, the Euro will get stronger. If however you are in Canada, where the Canadian$ is irrationally high, buying the US$ makes sense because in the near-term, the Canadian$ should settle lower, giving you a gain.
My own strategy is to not really invest in currencies, as that’s riddled with trading risks, but to invest in strong companies or funds that are proxies for these economies and give me an added return as well on their business. E.g. if I wanted to invest in the US$, I’d buy US companies that are export-heavy and will benefit from a depreciating $ e.g. technology, oil services and thus get a double benefit from future US$ appreciation and greater profitability.
I would be interested in hearing from others who think differently. |
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Canute
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A dollar is still a dollar.
Remember that sterling once dropped to par. |
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jbaudlet
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The FOMC’s most recent decision to cut rates by 25bp to 4.50 percent was widely expected by the markets, but the accompanying policy statement suggested that rates will be left steady in December as the downside risks to growth are counterbalanced by upside inflation risks. However, the markets appear to be trying to take monetary policy into their own hands, as Fed fund futures are currently pricing in a 62 percent chance of another 25bp cut. So which will it be? It will likely depend very much on how the financial markets fare in coming weeks, especially as banks like Citigroup face massive losses from mortgage and debt-market problems. |
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bad bob
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depends do you feel lucky punk |
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Nerdish Wannabe
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I think the low value is artificial and could change at any time, so now *might* be a good time to buy; it isnt hugely weak, and we have seen 2 dollars to the uk pound before.
This is supposedly a strategic move to make us exports cheaper. |
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Mike10613
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Yes, buy trillions - I need the value to go back up! lol Borrow the money in Japan where interest rates are only half a percent and then buy dollars. George Soros did something similar and made $1,000,000,000 in a few days. We did have a really stupid chancellor at the time though. |
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crustysob
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IMHO, this is the interlude you refer to. Having lived in California during the ramp up of home prices and having seen the "innovative financing" that came with it, the sub-prime disaster is no surprise. Banks and mortgage lenders are paying the price for their greed.
If you need liquid funds it may not be a gtreat place to park your money as it's too early to tell when the dollar will recover...but it will will recover and the people who got dollars on the cheap will be the winners. |
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Unknown U
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NO! U.s money is loosing value, fast. |
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crazyguyintx
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I'm waiting until it starts to turn up. It still may have a ways to drop before it bottoms out. |
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josie_lam
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The us dollar is going down, don't buy any of it...The american economy as a whole is not doing well, there's the dept, the war etc. the worst is that americans don't know what's happening so it will just blow into their face and they won't be able to do anything about it. |
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xxxxxxxxxx
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Not yet.
Not everybody is like you.
Until it has gone up a bit, then start buying. |
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ptnsai w
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mack's sins. |
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jevediah
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I'm a Canadian and can move my savings into a 5.5% high interest bank account(US dollars), while I wait for cheaper real investments. No rush but, I believe I'm with you. |
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Frank Castle
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1) No.
2) Yes.
3) Economic superiority? The United States of America was so broke in the WWII they raised money from the General Population selling War Bonds. If you are old enough then you remember, if you are not old enough then ask your father or grandfather.
I also suggest you to buy the DVD "Flags of Our Fathers" directed by Academy Award Winner Clint Eastwood.
The United States of America has a debt of $9 TRILLION.
The United States of America makes on average $44,190.00 USD annually per person and it's currently the 8th country by this measure. Hardly a Superior Country. |
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