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cnrage | Market is killing me - should I sell? |
So I have some cash in several stocks which I consider good. With the market dive though I am getting crushed. I don't need this money for another year and a half. However, I do have 15-20% trailing stops on these stocks and they are getting close to being exercised. What are people's opinions on this issue? Should I sell and take the loss (several hundred) and get out of the market or should I remove the stops and hang on for the ride? I appreciate the help |
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Smart Investor®
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Yes, sell and get out of the market. There are better alternatives.
Since the stock market is not going so well, overseas investments would be the best choice.
Try to invest in someones existing business. You may receive up to 20% guaranteed interest a year. You will not get such high guaranteed returns on stocks, mutual funds, bonds or CD's.
If you invest $100,000 at 20% annual interest rate, you will get back $120,000 in 1 year. I run my own business and my net profit is over 5% a month.
Email me at investment4us@hotmail.com and I'll give you a valuable advice if you are serious about investing. Please don't forget to mention your nickname and question at Y.A.
Best of luck! |
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MM
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Take a look at a 10 year chart of the S&P 500 and the Dow. Take a look at the period 2001 - 2003. What happened? The market went down for two years. That was the last recession the US experienced.
What's happening now? People are talking recession. And the market is going down. What would you expect is a reasonable assumption?
Besides all that, I am of the opinion that one should always take a predefined loss. In other words, before entering any trades, you should decide when you would take a loss if you need to. It looks like you've already decided that by setting your stops. So you'd better just go with your original plan and let them stop you out.
Base your trading on calculated risk. Not on wishing or hoping.
You may want to get into a "bear fund" which is a mutual fund that does well in a recession. |
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src50
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These are the risks you take. Did you invest for the long term or are you trying to "day trade"? If you're in for the long term, I'd hold on. |
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▲ßûІІѕ vÅŸ ßèÄÅ—Ñ•â–¼
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if you don't need this money for another year and a half i'd wait till next week and also Fed's decision on cutting rate.
since you said if your trailing stop order gets excuted you will take the loss.. then you will lose money for sure.. there will always be a bounce back.. also next week we have Apple, Microsoft, and then Google report earning too..
Don't sell it today.. I'd cancel it and wait it out.
I know how you feel, it's tempting to sell because you feel like your stock might not have hit the bottom yet..
I've lost $5000 in value in my AAPL in Jan. alone.. *sigh..
well I should have taken some off the table but I didn't expect Macworld to be a failure.. now I am hoping for the best next week when they report earning..
good luck... :( |
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robertochahin
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Well, first of all a 15% to 20% trailing stop is HUGE. Even on an investing pesrpective, in my opinion.
I think the market should stop bleeding soon (Bernake willing).
Intel's drop today was overdone I think. The last of the fear should be eeking out of the market soon. Market is very oversold. Fair priced in the worst of cases. I would hang one and next time keep your stops a bit tighter. |
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Common Sense
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It's simply not a good idea to buy stocks with less than a 5 year time horizon (if you are an investor (vs. a trader).
I'm a stock trader. My portfolio (except for some mutual funds) is now in cash. My best "winners" in the past year have included; INP, HOKU, CROX, FCX, DRYS to name a few. If you've been in any of the high fliers... the best stops are
usually based on them going below a "moving average", a five day "range" or some other variable which makes sense with the stocks "action". Usually these stops are between 2-6% of the price (if the stop has to be more..... I just don't get into it).
You need to have a better exit stradegy. You need to recognize to a year or two is not long term investing.
If these are "fad" stocks (like the ones above)..... you may want to get out now. Many times "fad stocks" never return to their old values.
Learn investing. Trying it at the seat of your pants will kill you.
Take the next year and read as many books on investing as you can. It will be worth the time and expense. |
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rmlowrie
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I never trade in a correcting Market. 75% of all stocks will follow the index trend. down. As for trailing stops, I use the 8% rule, to allow me to live to trade another day. on 8% loss, it only takes 8.6% to recoup my loss. 15% loss takes more than 17% to make up that loss. Again, however, it is better to cut your losses, then wait for the bottom out, where all the bases are reset for all stocks negatively impacted, and then when they begin to climb and show a "handle" at about 85 to 90% mark of the previous high, then jump back in, assuming that the fundamentals and technical indicators are showing "buy". Getting out of the market now and moving into cash preserves your cash to trade tomorrow (figuratively speaking). |
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netjunky
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Hang on for the ride. Look at the market as a whole - have your stocks lost substantially more than the rest of the market or are they reflecting the general down turn. If they are just following the pack then hang in there and they will come up with the market. Of course individual stock picking is tricky but if all other things are OK (the firms executives, their short term income outlook, etc.) then hold on for the ride. If you have any available funds now is a great time to buy stocks that are undervalued. |
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