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lala2007 | Should I invest when our nation is in a state of economic crisis? |
I am a twenty one year old college student who has never invested before. Despite the state of our economy right now, I have been reading about stocks plummeting. Sirius satellite radio is .85 cents a share. That is incredibly affordable. I am wondering if I should take advantage of such low stock prices and weather the storm to see if I can make a return on a little investment.
Is this a good idea or not? |
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Timothy C. Schewe
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Dear lala2007,
You're right, the markets are very turbulent right now but the state of the economy is not particularly bad. That said this week is going to be a defining week in that the congress is either going to get its act together and approve the bailout plan or not. The odds are they will, but only after much huffing and puffing and blame throwing.
Should this happen the most likely short-term reaction will be a sell-off. This would in my view be a good thing as a second major capitulation (if not a third) is probably necessary before the bear market ends.
As for Sirius. If you do even a cursory analysis of SIRI you will find that it has virtually nothing going for it as a realistic buy. Not only are the fundamentals lousy but the RS rating is 2 and the stock is currently undergoing serious distribution which means far, far more people are dumping it than buying it. Regardless of the current price or for that matter whatever hopes you may have it takes a market to move a stocks price and there is no reason to expect a major turn in market sentiment regarding Sirius in the foreseeable future.
As you are in college why not be patient and put in some time on education. Frankly, seeing if you can "weather the storm and make a little return on investment" is about as poor a reason to put your money in the markets as I can think of.
You really shouldn't even consider a stock seriously unless you can make the case that there is a strong probability (as opposed to slight possibility) that you'll make money. |
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Eric
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yeah if u want to make money like 10 yrs from now u buy now i heard from an expert on TV |
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dlmrgnk
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Buffet is quoted as saying "Buy when the cannons are firing and sell when the trumpets are playing." The cannons are most definitely firing. How long will they fire? |
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ChK
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Risk/reward is the operative term. If you are able to research companies and buy their stock at a perceived tremendous value then the potential payoff can be enormous. Companies that are "underperforming" are actually better on paper than what the stock market may currently indicate. It would be prudent to deduce that when the particular stocks have been realized by other investors to be that value, that their prices will rise and so will your investment portfolio value. |
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zoddie
 |
If you invest in anything buy real estate.
That would help our country...and after it goes down a bit more it will certainly come up.
No matter what the current scene is, real esate is always the best place for money. |
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C o n f u c i a n
 |
Saying 85 cents a share is an "affordable" stock is not the way to look at it. Yes, if Sirius goes up 8.5 cents you will be up 10%, but, just like some other people have already stated, it is a weak company.
Look at things by the percentage, not by price.
Google (GOOG), for example, closed today at $429.27, the company is very strong, but trading near its 52-week low. A 10% gain in Google will occur if the stock goes up $42.927 cents.
Most people will agree that Google has the better chance of increasing by 10%, and Sirius will not be going anywhere but down.
Or take a company like Apple (AAPL). They closed today at roughly $127. They have a better chance of going up 10% (+$12.70), then Sirius going up 8.5 cents. GM closed today at $10.72, they have a better chance of going up 10% (+$1.07) then Sirius going +8.5 cents.
The list goes on and on. The point is, don't look at the prices the way that you are looking at them. Even if you don't have a lot to invest, it does not mean that you should only get stocks that are under $3. Good luck with whatever you choose. |
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bittermeds
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At your age you cannot go too wrong-prices are indeed low but do you have faith in the system? No one can answer that now as the levels of corruption are peeled back like the layers of an onion. |
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Sophie B
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"Buy Low,Sell High" right now is the time to to invest...right now is "Low"....in the stock market...
Stay out of the bond market, don't buy precious metals( they are "high" right now, you should be selling gold)
As for Sirius, do you think it will be around long term, or will HD Radio put it out of business? |
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conni
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I would be very careful. I just lost a "ton" in bonds with Lehman Brothers. Why don't you just check out Ed Jones CD's. I have one that is paying 5%, and what's more it is FDIC insured. That's the way I would go at the present time. |
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