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Seng | Technical Analysis or Fundamental Analysis? |
Which one provides more reliability in the stock market, etc.? |
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A nobody
 |
Although both serve a valuable function in the stock market,
Fundamental Analysis address the company and it's values.
It providents various financial information about the company, including some of its structure.
Technical Analysist address the trading history and current information as to how the company's stock is performing, and how it relates to the various indexes.
If you buy stock with good fundamentals and the future looks promising, you'll do well, But if you also look at the technical aspectss of the stock, you will be guided as to when you should buy and what to look for as to price movement.
What the tech's will tell you is if the stock is trending toward the upside or down. Usually one nevers buys against the trend, you wait until it turns,
Both are important, but you can have the best company in the world with the best products/services and if nobody wants to buy the stock, it will go no where and in most cases it will go down
Take a look as MSN Money, this will provide a good free education into the markets and the mechanics of stock selection |
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derek
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I think fundamental analysis provides more reliability. |
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d10
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both are important because they have different purposes.
ta is used to know when and fa to know what to buy. |
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Sixtus
 |
Fundamental by far but the technical analysis will be used from time to time as well.
Rarely though, it is an inexact science to start with yet it has the most mathematics involved of any area of investment.
The maths does not start with a solid foundation on anything, being inexact, and tries to make up for that by building even more maths on top of it.
Maths doesn't work that way, you can have it as complicated as you want, but it needs simple proofs at the lower levels so the complex stuff works.
Technical analysis has no foundation, it just 'hopes' a lot.
Learn your businesses. Accounting is the closest thing to exact science in business. And if you have a flair for pikcing businesses, and operating them yourself, you don't need more maths than that |
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BigBen
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Generally speaking, investors tend to rely more upon fundamental analysis, and traders tend to rely more upon technical analysis, I personally combine both methods.
I use fundamental analysis to tell me WHAT to buy. I use technical analysis to tell me WHEN to buy, but more importantly, when to sell.
There is one pitfall that must be avoided when using fundamental analysis to trade stocks. That being that you will have a tendency to turn a trade into an investment. If a trade doesn't go the way you expect, you will often use the fundamentals of a company to justify holding the stock longer than originally planned, figuring that with such great fundamentals the stock can't help but come back eventually.
In down markets like we are in now, that can lead to having too much of one's capital tied up in investments, waiting for them to bounce back, and not enough left over, with which to trade. Having too much money tied up in investments restricts the flexibility that a trader needs in order to be efficient.
When this situation arises I begin each trading day knowing which of my positions I am willing to sell, in order to facilitate a trade. I would rather put my money in a position where it can make a 10% gain in 2 weeks, than a 20% gain in 2 months.
Basically, the shorter the time that you hold a stock, the more you must rely upon technicals, the longer you hold it, the more you rely on fundamentals. |
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mason pearson
 |
Both do have there place, but the best analysis is found between your ears.
Just because a company has great fundamentals and tech analysis say buy... or sell. Doesn't mean it will react accordingly.
A prime example is GE, just look at a five year chart.
I owned Mortons Salt about 25 years ago (they are now something esle) It was a great company, lots of cash, great revenue, very little debt... and it sat there unnoticed, I think I owned it for two years and traded it off for a few cents +/- from my buy price.
You have to have a good stock, that people actually will buy... and unfortunately there isn't a "market emotion index" |
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es
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You need to do both. Fundamentals help you determine if the company has sound business practices, figure out earnings relative to debt, etc. Technical analysis can help you decide when to enter and exit a trade, find resistance and support levels, and see where the stock was, and where it will go, potentially. I can recommend a good book if you'd like to read about putting together a good business plan when determining if you should buy a stock, and when you should sell it. It is called "Trade Your Way to Wealth" by Bill Kraft. Also, there are some great websites that can help you, including Yahoo Finance, Bloomberg, Investors Business Daily, and thestreet.com. Before you trade, you should paper trade for awhile, and get a feel for your risk tolerance. Good luck. |
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