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without the lotterys help?
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first one to email 12345 gets best ... |
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 I have 30K to invest,that I plan on using for a downpayment on a house,what are my best options of investment? |
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Why doesnt everyone do it?
Sounds too easy.
T... |
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LanceMiller77 | What will cause the next bear market in the USA? |
We've shook off China worries, Sub Prime mortgages....etc. What will usher in the next correction or bear market? |
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Chris
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The market correction that pulls the hedge funds in will cause the next bear market. The current savings rate is zero, the housing market is a mess, inflation is still a concern and margin is at an all time high. Since so many people are fully leveraged it will amplify any correction futher causing downfall and dragging in highly leveraged hedge funds which will self perpetuate. Sub-prime mortgage resets have only begun to hurt because the majority of resets will begin this fall. Inflation is a concern so no possibility of rate cuts and the market falling will cause difficulty in refinancing or selling due to negative equity. The market will fall but what will be the trigger that causes the implosion is anyones game. The most likely scenario is that the Chinese market will blow up and will will follow 24 hours later.
The reason behind the eventual fall is overextended credit. |
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lithium630
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The sub prime mortgage problems are just starting. Continued high gas prices will have an effect on company earnings and consumer spending. All this takes time to take a significant toll on numbers. The only thing we've avoided so far is a panic. I can't imagine a crash coming, everyone who wants a job can get one right now. I do think we are due a for a correction. |
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Your #1 fan
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Housing will weigh heavily on the market. There really will not be a rebound for quite some time. Why? People are overextended. They bought homes at bubbled prices and now the prices are tumbling, meaning if they sell they will have to pony up up extra cah to pay the mortgage or hold on to their property for a bit. It's worse if a person bought properties at there peak price. |
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muncie birder
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Chris has some excellent commentary. To tell you the truth, I thought when gas went up last summer we were in for it. But I was certainly wrong then. What is keeping the economy going is beyond my comprehension. Now we have gasoline at $3.50 a gallon and housing prices beginning to adjust downward, who knows. Maybe the chickens will come home to roost soon. |
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emucompboy
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The Latin American stock market is in "bubble" mode. Expect a correction. No, I don't know when. The fallout from that will probably take more than a year. Example from history: the Japan stock market. |
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HL
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If the following factors converge at once:
1. Energy prices continue to soar
2. The lack of a coherent fix for Social Security and other transfer payments to an aging population reaches a crisis forcing Congress to dramatically raise taxes.
3. Rampant, wide-spread corporate corruption comes to light.
4. Another major terrorist event within the U.S. causing the population to lose confidence in the government's ability to provide effective, efficient security.
5. Private equity firms begin to fail due to overly aggressive valuations of buyouts. |
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Dan D
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All good thoughts, but its likely to be something else. I think investors understand all the current risks & those items will likely lead to shorter-term fluctuations. Its more likely that something unexpected is the trigger to our next bear market. |
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Matt Humberto
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I might be speaking the fool here, but I think it's possible that we might not see another bear market for at least another 10 yrs.
For one, the public is becoming more and more aware of their investing options with their employers. This alone should keep the stock market busy with more buy orders than sell orders. Orders from pension firms will keep the market strong.
Also, there's still too much hype and excitement about niche sections of the stock market. Money is pouring into funds specializing in realty, gold, utilities, and everyone's recent favorite: international stocks. Everyone's having too good of a time. Until things settle down here in the states and internationally, stocks will continue to be bought and traded.
Just some thoughts. Take them with a grain of salt! |
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