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Robert L. | Whose stock should I buy Bank of America or Countrywide? |
With the recent news that Bank of America may buy Countrywide, what would be the better move, Buy Bank of America or Countrywide stock. Whose stocks will rise from this and whose stock will fall because of this? All advice appreciated. |
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muncie birder
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I would not buy either frankly. Certainly if BAC buys Coutrywide the value of its stock will fall. Countrywide on the other hand may not be bought by BAC which would mean they might file for bankrupcy. Instead buy USB a relatively sound bank, something that is sort of an anamaly these days. |
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Dr. Richards
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Neither, horrible sector. Enough said. |
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OPM
 |
I own shares in Bank of America. If it buys Countrywide it price will fall and Countrywide should appreciate up to the buyout price less interest until closing and risk of non-approval.
However, I would not own Countrywide under any circumstance unless the merger has already been approved by all regulatory authorities, both boards and any shareholder approval. Countrywide's single largest problem is liquidity. Bank of America does not have that problem but it is already a partial owner of Countrywide. If Countrywide fails, Bank of America writes down billions of dollars in equity.
If Bank of America buys Countrywide, it is to prevent writing down billions in lost equity investment itself.
There is no good outcome to any of this for anyone except very long term shareholders of Bank of America. |
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when and how
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It would be a bad idea to purchase either. Single stocks are a very risky investment. A group of stocks, such as a mutual fund with a track record could earn you 10%-15% return safely |
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Dom
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I own a lot of Bank of America shares and I am not too happy of this news. What do they get out of CFC? Paying for risky loans that can further losses?
I still am going to pick up BAC because they are huge and have plenty of cash to make it through the rough times. CFC though is up 60%. If you buy tomorrow, there could be a massive profit taking and it could drop 40% in the day. If shares went up a lot because investors thought they would be bought out, what will happen if BAC doesn't buy them?
Too much risk with Countrywide for me.
The idea is to pick up shares of good companies when price is low and people are scared. CFC is no longer a good company |
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vandelay industries
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buy countrywide |
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edco
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I already own BAC.
They get exposure to markets that CFC is in that BAC is not.
While CFC is certainly in trouble because of sub-prime mistakes, the REST of their business (probably 65% or more) is in conventional mortgages.
Buying CFC now is an arbitrage bet, since no price has been announced, and their CEO is a notorious idiot. I'd wager either the deal falls apart (because of greed) or it goes at $5. The stock closed at $7.75 (mostly due to short covering IMHO). So you might actually LOST money on a take out. |
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Chuck P
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Typically it is the one being bought, but in the long term the one purchasing will grow. |
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