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Chris tf | Why do stocks sometimes show big movements in price on no news? |
Is this likely to be due to insider information? |
 |
 
jakedeez
 |
There can be all kinds of reason a stock can move dramatically without news. While it could be insider information, that is actually not very likely, I think the three most likely situations are:
1. There is very little liquidity in the stock, so the price will tend to move more as there are fewer traders involved so bid ask spreads are wider.
2. The market is moving and there is a significant short covering. When a stock is heavily shorted, and starts to tick up, it can cause shorts to cover their positions as they do not want to get caught in a stamped. This kind of rally is usually short lived.
3. And most likely the case (although 1 is a pretty good explanation) there is news, but not direct news... for instance, let imaginee that there is a company that does all of its business in exports. The falling value of the US dollar will make their bottom line go up, as they will be able to get more dollars for the same levels of foreign currency they are getting for their goods. Or lets say, and this will be an oversimplified example, but lets say that someone invents a way to generate power from hops... I would imagin the price of Budweiser stock might go down because suddenly it is going to cost them more to make their beer as they will have to compete with a much larger market for Hops...
There can be any number of other reasons, but I would say that a large price movement will not often be based on inside information, especially when you consider that insiders would want to own the stock (or be short) before the stock moves much. |
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dkwr14
|
because stocks move with people, people are emotional. When little things happen that sometimes might upset investors, then they act rational. Like earnings reports, or management changes, they sometimes can make a stock price rise or drop with gut churnings speed.
The best thing to do though, is to ignore the short run changes, and pay attention to the long run of a stock. The daily changes really mean nothing.. |
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Alfred Chew
 |
1) Insider.....big possibility.
2) The stock is in the same sector as the one which has gaped up from the earnings announcement. |
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slavaret2
 |
Insider information is always a possibility but quite often the phenomenon you are describing occurs around so called pivotal points: if a stock moves through a certain level, it indicates a major change in behavior. Traders wait for a stock to reach that level before taking action. When it happens, a flood of orders is triggered, causing volume to spike.
For example, when F broke through $7.50 on 11/19, the volume picked up as many investors bailed out and shorts rushed in. |
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pgreen
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Markets create their own news
Anticipations, sentiments (hope, fear, mimicry), available
funds (liquidity), available stocks (counterparts), all those
things fluctuate and create price "volatility".
Also, phenomenon such as
"underreaction-adjustment-overreaction...
to previous news are at play (investors need time
to understand some completely new situations,
they might overlook them at first; and once they
understand their consequences they all rush to
buy or sell).
. |
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Agent Feyd
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A lot of stock movement can be traced to shifts in either the overall market or, in many cases, because competitors or businesses related to the sector in which the particular stock works with are reacting to news.
Overall the system is quite fickle and can easily fluctuate on many market "feelings" or even butterflies passing gas in far off locales. |
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BigBen
 |
price movement can be due to various of reasons other than news and market sentiment. it is more on market behaviour, available cash surplus and of course, insider tips. |
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walt17jr
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I assume you mean that a stock makes a big movement, that can not be explained by general market behavior. In such a case there is always a trigger factor. In other words, there is "news." You just aren't aware of it. It could be an analysis upgrade, a newsletter recommendation, or mention on one of the TV shows. Some of these carry a great deal of weight. Once the buying (or selling) starts, trigger points are reached in computerized tracking programs and other investors jump in to ride the momentum. An example of this is the "Cramer effect."
As an individual investor, if you are like me, you don't have the time to keep of every "news" tidbit that might effect a stock. And don't follow all of the newsletters, track every upgrade, or watch all of the talking heads. Which means there is always some "news" that we missed. But that is OK. Because these big movements are typically not sustained for the long term. They are just as likely to see a reversal over the next few days. |
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Barney
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Your in a world market. While you sleep the European and Asian markets are trading and some are US companies/stocks. They buy and sell against or with the US economy the same as we do and with or against other countries. This is largely driven by the value of currency. When the US dollar drops our exported goods are cheaper to buy. Other factors tend to apply also. |
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